Donald Trump will likely be found guilty in the legal cases against him. This is not because of what he did or did not do, but because the ruling politicians, courts, judges, juries, prosecutors, media, and the entire state apparatus are against him.
Americans are new to the concept of Dictatorship, Communism, Marxism, and Fascism because they were fortunate not to have experienced those.
While the West Virginia Democrat won in 2018 despite Trump campaigning against him, Manchin is unlikely to win in 2024.